Burnley vs Manchester City Preview

September 29, 2020
By: Daniel Orme

Manchester City will be aiming to rectify their shocking defeat to Leicester City as they tackle fellow Premier League outfit Burnley in the Fourth Round of the Carabao Cup on Wednesday.

The two sides come into the clash at Turf Moor in somewhat inconsistent form in the early weeks of the season. Sean Dyche’s Clarets have lost each of their opening two Premier League matches, whilst managing to progress past Sheffield United and Millwall in the cup. Elsewhere, the Sky Blues have beaten Bournemouth in the League Cup, whilst also managing to claim victory against Wolverhampton Wanderers in their opening league game before their 5-2 home defeat against Leicester.

Despite Pep Guardiola’s men still reeling from that defeat, it looks highly unlikely that Burnley will be able to progress to the quarter-finals of the competition for the first time since the 2008/09 campaign. The Clarets have only beaten their illustrious hosts in one out of the last 24 meetings between the two sides in all competitions. This possibly explains why the Clarets sit at a price of 13/2 with Paddy Power to win, whilst City are way more fancied at 2/5.

Considering the recent history between the two sides, it’s even harder to back the Clarets for a shock win on Wednesday. City have actually won the past five meetings between the two in all competitions, scoring 20 goals in the process, averaging four per match. City, who have actually won the last three Carabao Cups, can be backed at a price of 3/1 with William Hill to keep up that fantastic record at Turf Moor.

One problem for Guardiola in that, which could give encouragement to Burnley, are the absences of forwards Gabriel Jesus and Sergio Aguero, especially the latter who has scored nine goals in ten career appearances against the Clarets. As a result, Raheem Sterling is the favourite to open the scoring in Lancashire at odds of 7/2 with Betfair. Away from the forward line, the injuries continue throughout the squad. Bernardo Silva is out with a quad strain and Ilkay Gundogan is still in self isolation having tested positive for covid-19. Defenders Joao Cancelo and John Stones both remain out of contention.

Burnley also have their own injury worries to contend with. James Tarkowski is still out with a toe injury, joining fellow centre-back Ben Mee on the sidelines. Long-term absentees Ashley Barnes, Jack Cork and Johan Berg Gudmunsson all also remain missing, whilst Robbie Brady and Jay Rodriguez are both out.

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